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Minsheng Securities: In 2025, the banking sector grasped three main lines. The Minsheng Securities Research Report pointed out that it is expected that the revenue growth rate of listed banks will remain under pressure and profits will maintain positive growth in 2025. Restricted by factors such as the slowdown of scale expansion, the pressure of narrowing the net interest margin, and the marginal reduction of the contribution of financial investment to revenue, there is still pressure on the year-on-year growth of listed banks' revenue in 2025. However, with the gradual progress of local debt resolution, the real estate package policy has gradually become effective, and the hidden risks of banks in real estate and urban investment assets are expected to be effectively alleviated, and banks can maintain a low level of impairment provision, which supports profit performance. Grasp three main lines: 1) low-valued stock banks: it is recommended to pay attention to China Merchants Bank, Industrial Bank and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank; 2) High-quality rural commercial banks in regional cities: banks benefiting from chemical bonds. It is recommended to pay attention to Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, Chongqing Bank and regional high-quality banks, and Qilu Bank, Chengdu Bank, Changshu Bank and Hangzhou Bank. 3) High dividend banks: In the process of economic recovery, high dividend strategy has absolute income stability, so it is suggested to pay attention to state-owned big banks, Nanjing Bank and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank.Wafer factory "bargains for orders"? Insiders: It's not so exaggerated that there is no need for drastic price reduction at present. Recently, some industry media reported that the Chinese mainland wafer foundry has overflowed its capacity and is striving for more IC design factory orders to return at a low price discount. A manager of Chinese mainland Head Wafer Factory told reporters that the actual situation was "not as serious as reported by the media, and not so exaggerated". The source said that since the fourth quarter of this year, the quotation of its wafer factory has been "stable at present". In the fourth quarter, product orders from display drivers, power management and other categories were "not bad", and the market demand was similar to that previously publicly disclosed. The independent control of the mainland market is still the main theme. It is understood that the fourth quarter is usually the "off-season" of the wafer foundry industry, and downstream customers will review the sales plan at the beginning of the year, and they are not willing to stock up and receive goods. A person from a consumer chip company in Chinese mainland said, "Fab factories generally adjust prices according to market supply and demand." Yang Shengxin, a senior analyst of Sigmaintell's semiconductor business unit, said in an interview that according to the observation of Sigma Intell, Chinese mainland's wafer factory decreased by about 5% in the fourth quarter of 2024, and concentrated on 12-inch products; The price of China Taiwan Province Wafer Factory has not changed significantly. (science and technology innovation board Daily)NASDAQ Corporation: The annual adjustment results of Nasdaq 100 index constituents will take effect before the opening on Monday, December 23rd.

Hong Kong stocks ushered in the "structural bull" and the future valuation center is expected to rise. Since late September, the policy combination boxing has exceeded expectations, and the Hang Seng Index has taken advantage of the trend. As of the close of December 13th, the Hang Seng Index has risen by 17.15% this year, which is the first time since 2020. In terms of sectors and individual stocks, it is one after another, constantly deducing "structural cattle". Wind's statistics show that since the beginning of this year, a total of 333 stocks have increased by more than 50%, of which 142 stocks have doubled, and Quanzhi International has increased by more than 10 times this year. Eight stocks including Boya Interactive, Wanshun Ruiqiang Group, Zheli Holdings, Honghao International Holdings and Shanghai Qingpu Fire Protection have also increased by more than 5 times. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, Guotai Junan Hong Kong believes that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates in 2025, and the valuation center of Hong Kong stocks will continue to improve marginally. Looking ahead, Hong Kong stocks will remain volatile and investors need to pay attention to structural industry opportunities. In its view, the Hong Kong stock market is dominated by "N"-shaped upward volatility, and there are many flexible opportunities in the stage, but we should pay attention to actively looking for structural industry opportunities. (Securities Times)Tan Xuxiang was appointed as the Standing Committee of the Beijing Municipal Committee of the Communist Party of China. Recently, the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China approved Tan Xuxiang as the Standing Committee of the Beijing Municipal Committee of the Communist Party of China. (Beijing Daily)Extreme Yue Xia Yiping voiced: The first-line stores did not resume work and production, and 200 sales were kept in the stores. The reporter was informed that at about 20: 30 yesterday, the CEO of Extreme Yue Xia Yiping replied whether the stores resumed work on the internal communication platform of Extreme Yue, saying that "the first-line stores did not resume work and production, and our purpose was only to ensure the minimum operating needs, that is, to keep 200 sales in the stores." At about 20: 25 on the same day, six employee representatives of Jiyue Automobile entered the conference room on the third floor of the enterprise to talk with Xia Yiping about related issues. Previously, the owner's representative and Xia Yiping talked in the conference room for nearly an hour. (Shell Finance)

CITIC Securities: The growth rate of supply is expected to move down rapidly, and there is room for aluminum price increase. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the growth rate of global electrolytic aluminum production is expected to be 3.6%/2.2%/1.7%/0.9% from 2024 to 2027, showing a rapid downward trend. At the same time, our calculation results show that the incentive price of overseas electrolytic aluminum projects may be as high as 3000 US dollars /24000 yuan. The current aluminum price is difficult to stimulate overseas capacity expansion. We are optimistic about the rising space of aluminum price and the allocation value of aluminum plate under the background of strong supply constraints. Maintain the aluminum plate "stronger than the market" rating.Moody's: Political division in France is more likely to hinder meaningful fiscal consolidation.USGS: A 6.4-magnitude earthquake occurred 41km southeast of Molina, Chile.